🎯 Daily Picks — April 11, 2026
✅ Yesterday — April 10
| Pick | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|
| ⚾ Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | ✅ W | +0.6u |
| 🏀 Charlotte Hornets ML | ❌ L | -1.0u |
| ⚾ Keider Montero Under 3.5 Strikeouts | ❌ L | -0.5u |
| ⚾ Over 8.5 (Guardians vs Braves) | ✅ W | +1.0u |
| ⚾ Athletics +1.5 | ✅ W | +0.7u |
| 🏀 Sacramento Kings +10.5 | ✅ W | +1.0u |
| 🏀 Phoenix Suns ML | ❌ L | -1.0u |
| ⚾ Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Hits | ✅ W | +0.2u |
| ⚾ Austin Martin Over 0.5 Hits | ✅ W | +0.3u |
| 🏀 Mavericks +18.5 | ❌ L | -1.0u |
| Total | 6-4 | +0.3u |
📊 Record Dashboard
| Period | Record | Win % | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 6-4 | 60.0% | +0.3u |
| This Week | 41-33 | 55.4% | -0.3u |
🏆 All-Time Since March 2026
| Type | Record | Win % | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Straights | 163-98 | 62.5% | +22.1u |
| Props | 52-52 | 50.0% | +0.2u |
| Parlays | 9-18 | 33.3% | +6.3u |
| Total | 224-168 | 57.1% | +28.6u |
🎯 Today's Free Picks — April 11
🏒 NHL — Vegas Golden Knights +1.5
Vegas Golden Knights @ Colorado Avalanche
💰 -203 | Win: 69.2% | Best: -203 @ Kalshi
📝 Our model projects a strong 69.2% probability of hitting. a 3.3% edge where books are offering better value than the true line. getting 1.5 points provides a cushion — they can lose close and still cover.
🥊 MMA — Azamat Murzakanov ML
Paulo Henrique Costa @ Azamat Murzakanov
💰 -203 | Win: 69.8% | Best: -203 @ Kalshi
📝 Our model projects a strong 69.8% probability of hitting. a 4.2% edge where books are offering better value than the true line. the straight-up win probability makes this a high-confidence play.
🥊 MMA — Under 1.5
Johnny Walker @ Dominick Reyes
💰 -165 | Win: 64.2% | Best: -165 @ BetOnline.ag
📝 Our model projects a strong 64.2% probability of hitting. a 3.0% edge where books are offering better value than the true line. defensive matchups and recent scoring trends point to a lower-scoring game.
🎯 PROP — Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits
Athletics @ New York Mets
💰 -155 | Win: 65%
📝 Recent performance trends and matchup data suggest Shea Langeliers is in a strong spot to go over 0.5 hits tonight. Our model gives this a 65% probability of hitting.
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